融合层次图构建与多级编解码的流程生产多工序质量预测方法

Multi-process quality prediction method for process production by fusing hierarchical graph construction and multi-level encoding and decoding

  • 摘要: 针对流程生产中工序强连续、变量耦合复杂、原料波动显著等特点,本文提出了一种融合层次图构建与多级编解码的多工序质量预测方法。该方法首先通过微观图注意力编码模块自适应学习工序内参数关联,其次使用宏观链式门控融合模块刻画工序间逐级传递影响,在此基础上结合改进LSTM与自注意力模块实现时序特征提取的高精度预测,实现跨工序、跨尺度的统一表征。最后,对某企业制丝生产线上的三道关键工序经过数据清洗、特征筛选与归一化等数据预处理,进行多工序质量指标预测实验。结果表明,所提模型在平均绝对误差、均方根误差和拟合优度上均优于对比模型,多工序预测精度和稳定性显著提升,能够有效捕获工序内耦合、工序间累积传递波动及时间动态特征,为流程工业的质量控制和生产优化提供了可靠参考。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the characteristics of strong continuous processes, complex variable coupling and significant raw material fluctuation in process production, this paper proposes a multi-process quality prediction method combining hierarchical graph construction and multi-level coding and decoding. Secondly, the macro chain-gated fusion module is used to depict the step-by-step transfer influence between processes. On this basis, the improved LSTM and self-attention module are combined to achieve high-precision prediction of time series feature extraction, and a unified representation across processes and scales is realized. Finally, the multi-process quality index prediction experiment was carried out for the three key processes on the silk production line of an enterprise after data preprocessing such as data cleaning, feature screening and normalization. The results show that the proposed model is superior to the comparison models in mean absolute error, root mean square error and goodness of fit, and the accuracy and stability of multi-process prediction are significantly improved. It can effectively capture the coupling within processes, the cumulative transfer fluctuation between processes and the time dynamic characteristics, which provides a reliable reference for the quality control and production optimization of the process industry.

     

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