多健康因子下的SABO-ELM模型锂离子电池剩余寿命预测

SABO-ELM Model for Remaining Life Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries under Multiple Health Factors

  • 摘要: 锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(Remaining useful life,RUL)的准确预测对于汽车电池管理系统至关重要。针对锂离子电池RUL的预测精度不精确问题,首先,利用对锂离子电池退化趋势敏感的容量增量曲线(Incremental Capacity,IC)提取不同恒流充电电压间隔的多健康因子(Health Factor,HF)表征电池容量退化,并采用斯皮尔曼系数法分析多HF与容量的相关性。其次,针对ELM参数易陷入局部最优导致模型预测性能稳定性不强,提出减法平均算法(Subtraction-Average-Based Optimizer,SABO)算法对ELM模型中的权值和偏置阈值进行优化,改善模型的预测性能。最后,采用NASA公开的电池数据集对文中所提方法对进行验证,实验结果表明,在多健康因子下,采用SABO优化ELM可以提高RUL预测精度,预测误差控制在2%以内。

     

    Abstract: Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries is crucial for automotive battery management systems. Addressing the issue of inaccurate RUL prediction for lithium-ion batteries, firstly, we extract multiple health factors (HF) using Incremental Capacity (IC) curves, which are sensitive to battery degradation trends, at various constant current charging voltage intervals. We then analyze the correlation between these multiple HFs and battery capacity using the Spearman coefficient method. Secondly, to address the issue of the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) parameters easily falling into local optima, leading to weak model predictive performance stability, we propose the Subtraction-Average-Based Optimizer (SABO) algorithm to optimize the weights and bias thresholds of the ELM model, thereby improving the model's predictive performance. Finally, we validate the proposed method using publicly available battery datasets from NASA. Experimental results demonstrate that under multiple health factors, employing SABO to optimize ELM improves RUL prediction accuracy, with prediction errors controlled within 2%.

     

/

返回文章
返回