基于全生命周期理论的高寒高海拔露天矿山碳排放核算及降碳路径研究——以新疆某矿为例

Carbon Emission Accounting and Decarbonization Pathways for High-altitude and Cold-region Open-pit Mines Based on Life Cycle Theory:A Case Study of a Certain Mine In Xinjiang

  • 摘要: 随着常规资源日益枯竭,高寒高海拔矿山的开发成为保障资源供给与推动产业升级的战略选择。然而,在全球气候变化及“双碳”战略背景下,采矿行业作为高能耗、高排放的重要基础产业,面临严峻的低碳转型挑战。科学、精准的碳排放核算体系是实现矿业可持续发展的关键。本文基于全生命周期理论,系统识别高寒高海拔露天矿山全流程碳排放源,界定采场尺度的碳排放核算边界,并综合分析高海拔气压、氧气含量对燃料燃烧及爆破效果的约束机制。基于此,构建了融合高海拔参数、设备性能参数、开采设计参数及碳排放因子的多因素耦合碳排放核算模型,揭示矿山全流程开采环节-设备运行-碳排放溯源的协同机制。以新疆某高寒露天矿山为案例,开展模型验证及降碳路径优化分析,基于矿山三维块体模型定量评估单位重量矿岩排放量及全年排放总量,并结合矿山实际运营条件,从宏观政策调控与微观生产优化双重视角,提出适应高寒高海拔环境的低碳发展策略。研究成果为高寒高海拔露天矿山碳排放核算、节能降耗及绿色转型提供了理论依据与数据支撑,对“双碳”目标下矿业绿色低碳发展具有重要参考价值。

     

    Abstract: With the depletion of conventional resources, the development of high-altitude, cold-region mines has emerged as a strategic option to secure resource supply and drive industrial upgrading. However, driven by the dual pressures of global climate change and the “dual carbon”(carbon peaking and carbon neutrality) strategy, the mining industry—a foundational sector with high energy consumption and substantial emissions—faces significant challenges in achieving a low-carbon transition. An accurate and scientifically rigorous carbon emission accounting system is thus pivotal for achieving sustainable mining development. This study, grounded in full life cycle theory, systematically identifies carbon emission sources throughout the entire production process of high-altitude open-pit mines and delineates the accounting boundaries at the mining field scale. A comprehensive analysis is conducted on the effects of high-altitude factors—specifically, atmospheric pressure and oxygen concentration—on fuel combustion efficiency and blasting performance. Building on these insights, a multi-factor coupling carbon emission accounting model is developed by integrating high-altitude environmental parameters, equipment performance indices, mining design factors, and carbon emission factors. This model elucidates the synergistic relationships among the various stages of mining operations, equipment functionality, and carbon emission traceability. To rigorously assess model sensitivity, the study employs the Sobol global sensitivity analysis method, quantitatively evaluating the influence of each input parameter on the model’s output. Results from the sensitivity analysis highlight that physical-mechanical parameters, such as rock density, alongside key operational factors like equipment power and loading capacity, directly affect the carbon emission profile of the mining process. A case study of a high-altitude open-pit mine in Xinjiang is conducted to validate the proposed model and optimize decarbonization pathways. Utilizing a three-dimensional block model, the study quantitatively assesses unit ore emission intensities and annual total emissions. Empirical findings indicate that seasonal climate variations, mining intensity fluctuations, and stripping ratios significantly impact the overall carbon emission levels. In particular, fuel combustion and electricity consumption are identified as the primary emission sources, while transportation and crushing operations constitute major contributors to total emissions. Under equivalent production conditions, high-altitude environments are found to generate an additional 43183 t CO2 eq compared to conventional low-altitude regions. In summary, this research proposes low-carbon development strategies from both macro-policy and micro-production perspectives. The innovative integration of full life cycle theory, multi-factor coupling, and sensitivity analysis in carbon emission accounting provides a sound theoretical framework and empirical data support for energy conservation, emission reduction, and sustainable mining transformation in high-altitude, cold-region open-pit mines.

     

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