田俊山, 曾俊铖, 丁峰, 徐劲, 江龑, 周成, 李英达, 王歆远. 基于时空关系的高速公路交通流量预测[J]. 工程科学学报. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2023.10.24.004
引用本文: 田俊山, 曾俊铖, 丁峰, 徐劲, 江龑, 周成, 李英达, 王歆远. 基于时空关系的高速公路交通流量预测[J]. 工程科学学报. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2023.10.24.004
Highway traffic flow forecasting based on spatio-temporal relationship[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2023.10.24.004
Citation: Highway traffic flow forecasting based on spatio-temporal relationship[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2023.10.24.004

基于时空关系的高速公路交通流量预测

Highway traffic flow forecasting based on spatio-temporal relationship

  • 摘要: 高速公路交通流量预测对于交通拥堵预警、分流诱导和建设智慧高速公路具有重要意义。交通流具有复杂的空间依赖关系,不同的高速公路路网节点的空间依赖关系随时间变化,静态的图卷积不能动态地提取这种复杂的空间关系,使得空间信息利用率不足。此外,交通流具有复杂的时空依赖关系,现有的方法大多单独捕捉时间和空间的依赖性,难以同时对这两种依赖关系进行建模。针对这两个问题,提出一种基于动态图卷积网络与时空特征提取模块的高速公路交通流量预测方法。首先,通过动态图调节模块,提取交通流量序列的空间关系,根据提取到的空间特征,计算不同路网节点的道路相似性,并调整交通路网图结构;然后,通过时空特征提取模块,利用更新后的空间结构,结合时序处理方法,对交通流量数据的时空依赖关系进行建模。为检验模型效果,在三个高速公路交通数据集中进行实验对比,在PeMS03、PeMS04和PeMS08数据集中,MAE分别为15.6、19.7、16.8,结果表明,本文提出的方法在高速公路交通流量预测中具有较好的表现。

     

    Abstract: With the rapid development of economy and science and technology, the problem of highway congestion is gradually serious. It is of great significance for the construction of intelligent highways to forecast the traffic flow of highways, so as to carry out traffic congestion warning and diversion induction in advance in order to improve the efficiency of highway traffic. In addition, traffic flow has complex spatio-temporal dependencies, and most of the existing methods capture the temporal and spatial dependencies individually, making it difficult to model these two dependencies simultaneously. To address these two issues, a highway traffic flow forecasting method based on dynamic graph convolutional network with spatio-temporal feature extraction module is proposed. First, through the dynamic graph

     

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